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April 1, 2009 5:48 PM This is just a heads up to the potential for severe weather late tonight in the west (east Texas/southeast Oklahoma) which will spread east through the early morning hours tomorrow and ending by early afternoon across the east (El Dorado-Monroe-Jena). A vigorous upper level system will move across the region late tonight and early tomorrow. Fortunately it comes on the heels of the Tuesday’s system and moisture return will be limited. Nonetheless, SPC has placed all of the region in a slight risk for severe weather (overnight in the west and area wide tomorrow). We will see storms form overnight in the area of Broken Bow to Tyler to Lufkin which will have the potential to produce hail, some large. As the storms move east during the early morning hours, the wind threat will increase as we will likely see the storms gel into a storm complex. As this occurs, strong damaging winds will be possible as will isolated tornadoes… similar to what we saw on Tuesday morning. The greatest risk for damaging winds and severe weather will be east of the red line on the attached graphic which is basically east of I-49 and east of US 71 in Arkansas during the morning hours through around 1 pm. Skies will clear very quickly behind the storms..again, similar to Tuesday. The moderate risk of severe weather highlighted by SPC is just east of a El Dorado/Monroe/Jena line, however those areas are close enough to the risk area to warrant the need to monitor this more closely for the increased risk for tornadoes. At the present time, I have not scheduled a conference call but may do so early in the morning as the system evolves. See the graphic below for the risk areas.
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